China – world’s largest grocery market – tops US$1tn, latest IGD figures reveals

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IGD: leading global markets

IGD: leading global markets

China, the world’s biggest food and grocery market, is now valued at more than US$1tn and is forecast to be worth US$1.5tn in 2016, according to latest figures published by IGD.

IGD research also found:

  • The US grocery market will remain the second largest globally and is predicted to be worth US$1.1tn in 2016. IGD expects growth to accelerate from a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.6% between 2010 and 2012, to 4.7% between 2013 and 2016
  • By 2016, the Indian grocery market will have overtaken Japan to become the world’s third largest grocery market, valued at US$566bn
  • The gap between Russia and Brazil is fast narrowing. By 2016, the Brazilian and Russian grocery markets are projected to be worth US$468bn and US$467bn respectively, with Brazil set to climb to fourth position with a CAGR of 9.1% between 2013 and 2016
  • All of the BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India, China) nations will be in the top five grocery markets by 2016, worth just over US$3tn in total

Joanne Denney-Finch, chief executive, IGD, said: “For food and consumer goods companies, the Asia-Pacific and Latin American grocery markets offer long-term growth opportunities, with many businesses already profiting from entering them. 

“The Chinese grocery market, in particular, has been growing at a rapid pace for several years. Representing one fifth (20%) of the world’s population, China has had a surge in the number of higher-income earners, benefiting from a significant rise in wages. This has resulted in a soaring demand for new products, brands and concepts – all of which have helped fuel its growth.

“International and domestic grocery retailers are expanding quickly in China with diverse formats and entering new regions. This not only creates new supply chain opportunities for manufacturers, but also presents a wealth of choice for Chinese shoppers.

“In Latin America, Brazil is also an attractive growth market for global grocery players. Over the next few years, Brazil will be hosting big sporting events such as the World Cup and Summer Olympic Games, presenting a further boost for its economy and for the performance of retailers and manufacturers operating in the region.

“By 2016, the top 15 global grocery markets will have a total value of US$6.5tn. The top five – US and BRIC – will increase their share to 65% – compared to 60% in 2012 – with a combined value of US$4.2tn.

“This offers plenty of scope for food and consumer goods companies seeking international growth and paints a positive picture for the industry globally.”

IGD’s top 15 global grocery market ranking

2012 2016F
Rank Country

$bn

Rank Country

$bn

1 China

1,082

1 China

1,582

2 US

940

2 US

1,118

3 Japan

408

3 India

566

4 India

375

4 Brazil

468

5 Brazil

329

5 Russia

467

6 Russia

314

6 Japan

423

7 France

284

7 France

302

8 Germany

271

8 Germany

297

9 UK

243

9 UK

278

10 Indonesia

168

10 Indonesia

247

11 Italy

165

11 Italy

166

12 Mexico

123

12 Mexico

154

13 Spain

122

13 Canada

133

14 Canada

111

14 Spain

131

15 Australia

108

15 Turkey

128

   

5,046

   

6,460